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What Must Our Enemies Be Thinking?

WSJ: 'The Treatment of Bush Has Been a Disgrace'...

Earlier this year, 12,000 people in San Francisco signed a petition in support of a proposition on a local ballot to rename an Oceanside sewage plant after George W. Bush. The proposition is only one example of the classless disrespect many Americans have shown the president.

It seems that no matter what Mr. Bush does, he is blamed for everything. He remains despised by the left while continuously disappointing the right.

Yet it should seem obvious that many of our country's current problems either existed long before Mr. Bush ever came to office, or are beyond his control. Perhaps if Americans stopped being so divisive, and congressional leaders came together to work with the president on some of these problems, he would actually have had a fighting chance of solving them.

Our failure to stand by the one person who continued to stand by us has not gone unnoticed by our enemies. It has shown to the world how disloyal we can be when our president needed loyalty -- a shameful display of arrogance and weakness that will haunt this nation long after Mr. Bush has left the White House.


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Oprah

Oprah Exclaims: 'I Haven't Seen This Sense of Unity Since 9/11'

In an interview from Chicago's Grant Park taped shortly beforehand and aired on ABC just past 10:30 PM EST/9:30 PM local time, an excited Oprah Winfrey told Good Morning America's Robin Roberts: "I haven't seen this sense of unity since 9/11, really, really, and 9/11 was this tragic experience that brought us all together and now we're all brought together in the name of hope. Not since 9/11 have I experienced anything even kind of close to this."

Of course, the 47 percent who voted for McCain may not share Winfrey's unity.

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Be Freedom

The McCotter Challenge: Why is there a Republican Party?

Rep. Thaddeus McCotter asks and answers the question in a post-election essay that should be must reading for all Republicans this week.  Jeff Flake gave us a road map for the GOP to find its way to a unifying, resonant message, but McCotter aims to recover the lost GOP soul.  He argues that we have hit Republican Rock Bottom, and that the time has come to build anew

McCotter demands a return to First Principles, as did Flak, and he calls them the “enduring principles” of the Republican Party:

1.    Our liberty is from God not the government.
2.    Our sovereignty rests in our souls not the soil.
3.    Our security is through strength not surrender.
4.    Our prosperity is from the private sector not the public sector.
5.    Our truths are self-evident not relative.

Where Flake is more pragmatic, McCotter is more philosophical, but the two are singing in harmony today.  We need to focus on these principles and apply them to all our policy positions.  We cannot be taken seriously as a small-government, private-sector movement if we back ever-expanding bailouts or if we pursue pork-barrel politics.

In the wake of this loss, the Republican leadership in Congress will certainly need to change in order to demonstrate leadership on these principles.  McCotter and Flake should be part of any new Republican leadership.



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Understanding And Recriminating

Mark Steyn, Mike Franc, Jonah Goldberg & more assess what went wrong. How the GOP Got Here
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No

Could anything have prevented this defeat? What Sank McCain
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Hope

The public has clearly rejected the Republican party in its present configuration.Hope Amid the Ruins

We wish the outcome of yesterday’s elections had been different. Liberals will shortly be in the driver’s seat in Washington in a way they have not been since the Great Society. The Democratic majority in Congress will be slightly smaller than the one that greeted President Clinton in 1993, but much more homogeneous in its liberalism.

Yet the public has not embraced many of the central aspects of liberalism. President-Elect Barack Obama’s record and positions put him well to the left of any president in the last four decades. But to judge from his campaign, he is a man who wants to cut taxes, defend an individual right to own guns, take a hard line on terrorists in Pakistan, reduce the abortion rate, allow people to keep their health-care plans, and keep trade free. The polls suggest that he was wise to run in this fashion: They show that the public remains as skeptical about federal activism and social liberalism as they have been for years.

Conservatives should be willing to work with the Democrats in Washington where appropriate — assuming the Democrats are interested in having their help — but should be no more mealy-mouthed, apologetic, or timorous than the Democrats were after the 2004 election. When Democrats misread the election as a mandate for liberalism, and particularly when they betray the explicit and implicit commitments Obama has made during this campaign, Republicans should do everything they can to drive the point home, less in the expectation that they will change legislative outcomes than that they will move voters in advance of 2010 and 2012.

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Both Candidates' Tax Plans Will Reduce Millions Of Taxpayers' Liability To Zero (Or Less)

Tax Foundation estimates show that if all of the Obama tax provisions were enacted in 2009, the number of these "nonpayers" would rise by about 16 million, to 63 million overall.

The tax code has always contained provisions that reduce the income tax burden for low-income workers, such as the standard deduction, personal exemption, and dependent exemption. Between 1950 and 1990, the percentage of tax filers whose entire tax liability was wiped out by these provisions averaged 21 percent. Since then, lawmakers have expanded credits—such as the earned income tax credit (EITC)—while creating a plethora of new credits, including the child tax credit, the HOPE credit, lifetime learning credit, and the credit for adoption expenses.

Most tax credits can only reduce a taxpayer's amount due to zero, but the EITC and the child tax credit were also made refundable, meaning that taxpayers are eligible to receive a check even if they have paid no income tax during the year. Those tax returns have become, in effect, a claim form for a subsidy delivered through the tax system rather than a direct payment from a traditional government program like welfare or farm supports.

Over the past two decades, lawmakers have increasingly turned to the tax system rather than direct spending programs to funnel money to targeted groups of Americans, furthering some social or political goal. As a result, millions of Americans have been effectively removed from the income tax payment system while the tax code has been made more complicated to comply with and more difficult to administer. The tax plans of both the presidential candidates would exacerbate this situation greatly.

It is time for a serious public discussion of whether it is desirable to have so many Americans disconnected from the cost of government and what the consequences are of using the tax system as a vehicle for social policy.

 




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Number Of Americans Paying Zero Federal Income Tax Grows To 43.4 Million

With the April 17th deadline for federal tax returns looming, Americans are sharply aware of their federal income tax liabilities. However, one aspect of federal income taxes they may not be aware of is the growing number of Americans who pay zero federal income tax after taking advantage of deductions and credits.

During 2006, Tax Foundation economists estimate that roughly 43.4 million tax returns, representing 91 million individuals, will face a zero or negative tax liability. That's out of a total of 136 million federal tax returns that will be filed. Adding to this figure the 15 million households and individuals who file no tax return at all, roughly 121 million Americans—or 41 percent of the U.S. population—will be completely outside the federal income tax system in 2006.1 This total includes those who pay no tax, and those who pay some tax upfront and are later refunded the full amount of the tax paid or more.

Federal tax reform requires that the base of the federal income tax be widened, so that overall tax rates can be reduced. However, because of the large number of Americans currently paying zero federal income tax, any attempt to broaden the tax base will be a difficult sell for lawmakers. The millions of Americans who have no federal income tax liability will either be indifferent about tax reform or will positively oppose it, as it would require bringing them into the federal tax base.

As President Bush pushed through his two major tax bills in 2001 and 2003, opponents focused on the dollar amounts saved by high-income individuals. What many critics have ignored is the number of people who were removed from the tax rolls as a result of the expansion of the child tax credit, which was a key provision of the President's Economic Growth and Tax Relief Reconciliation Act of 2001. As Figure 1 illustrates, the number of tax returns with zero or negative tax liability has risen steadily over the past decade. However, it accelerated sharply between 2000 and 2004 due to the effects of tax changes during President Bush's first term of office.

Percent of Tax Returns with Zero or Negative Tax Liability, 1950 to Present


These findings raise serious questions about the future of the U.S. income tax system, and the possibility of base-broadening tax reform when the majority of the federal tax burden is borne by a shrinking pool of taxpayers. As Congress considers tax reform proposals during the coming year, this is an issue lawmakers should begin to debate.

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Stay Classy, Loser

Nader: Will Obama be an Uncle Tom?

This doesn’t exactly qualify as a shocking statement any more from the self-appointed Arbiter of Black Authenticity, but at least last time, Ralph Nader didn’t utter the phrase “Uncle Tom”. When Shepherd Smith scolds him for using the race-baiting term, Nader tries playing the victim by calling Smith a “bully”

I don’t blame Shep for going after Nader on this point. Had anyone else used that derogatory term on Fox, there would have been a hailstorm of recrimination. Barack Obama hasn’t even taken office yet, and Nader is already accusing him of sucking up to The Man … even though Obama is technically now The Man himself, or will be in 76 days or so.

Shouldn’t this come from Harry Belafonte?

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Emanuel

From National Review Online



Obama’s apparent selection of Rahm Emanuel for White House chief of staff is an extremely disconcerting (if not wholly surprising) first indication on the “which Obama will we get” question. It suggests both that he wants to be ruthless and partisan and that he does not have a clear sense of how the White House works.

Emanuel was by all accounts a very effective White House staffer in the Clinton administration, and he has certainly been an effective member of the House of Representatives. He is smart and tough. But he has been, in both positions, a vicious graceless partisan: narrow, hectic, unremittingly aggressive, vulgar, and impatient. Those who have worked for and with him come away impressed but not inspired, and generally not loyal.

The White House chief of staff is not a chief strategist or a chief advocate. He is a manager of people and of process. Above all else, he sets the tone internally, and shapes the president’s decision process and the feel of the upper tiers of the administration. Obama is especially in need of someone who will lead him to decisions, because he appears to be intensely averse to making difficult choices—which is the essence of what the president does. His inclination is to step back and conceptualize the choice out of existence, looking reasonable but doing nothing. To overcome this, he will need a chief of staff with a sense of the gravity of the choices the president faces, and one capable of moving the staff to decision, keeping big egos satisfied and calm, and resisting the pressure to be purely reactive to momentary distractions. None of this spells Rahm Emanuel. There is definitely a place for a Rahm Emanuel type of brilliant ruthless shark in a White House staff, but not in the Chief’s office. Not a good first sign.

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Stop Being Democrats With Different Friends

A GOP party leader for the future

Jeff Flake has long been a voice in the Republican wilderness, opposing profligate spending and big-government “conservatism”. Now that the entire GOP has been put into the wilderness, Flake takes to the pages of the Washington Post for a well-deserved round of I Told You So. More to the point, Flake draws the map for Republicans to return from their largely self-imposed exile from power

The failure of the Republicans did not start with the George Bush presidency, and Flake nails this point.  It started with Congressional leadership, which took a wrong turn almost immediately after gaining majorities in both chambers.  Instead of committing to limited government and sacrificing some measure of power for substantial change in the direction of the federal government, the GOP leadership launched the K Street Project and allied itself with the very lobbyists that feast off of bloated government.

While Clinton was President, the Republican Congress could still talk “limited government” while playing footsie with lobbyists by serving up the pork.  Once Bush and his “compassionate conservatism” took over the White House, these Republican leaders showed themselves as nothing more than big-government enablers with only a different set of winners to pick among lobbyists.  They ceased being anything other than Democrats with Different Friends.   Small wonder that no one buys the “limited government” argument any longer.

Maybe after losing two successive electoral cycles, people will finally start listening to Flake.  He has exactly the right prescription for the affliction Republicans have given themselves — a focus on fiscal conservatism and limited government, and an adamant opposition to spoils politics.  If the GOP is to ever regain credibility with voters as a positive force for real change, then they have to show commitment to principle over power, a fatal failure of the last Republican majority.



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Do The Math

Missing 20 million votes?

MS-NBC’s First Read provides the Chuckle of the Day.  They claim that the nation had a record-breaking turnout despite the returns showing a lower voter turnout than 2004:

*** Highest turnout rate since ‘08 — 1908: Provided the number stands, the turnout rate for yesterday’s election was the highest in 100 years, according to the estimate from turnout guru Dr. Michael McDonald at George Mason University. Almost 137 million (136,631,825) went to the polls — 64.1% of the voting-eligible population. 1960 saw 63.7% of the populace go out to vote; In 1908, 65.7% voted. It was, of course, the most people ever to go to the polls topping 2004’s 122 million. That’s 12% increase from 2004. For those wondering why the current total vote in the presidential adds up to approximately 117 million, note that it’s going to climb. There is still a ton of vote missing on the West coast.

Apparently, no one at MS-NBC can do math.  “A ton of vote missing on the West coast”?  There would have to be 20 million votes missing in order to get from 117 million to 137 million.  California has reported 95% of its precincts and counted almost 10 million votes.  At best, they’ll get another 500K or so.

I checked CNN latest figures total approx. 119,518,582 votes.  [3PM 11-05]


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Moving On

That’s what elections are for

Congratulations go to Barack Obama for his victory last night.  He did what few Democrats have managed to do this century: win majorities in both popular vote and the Electoral College.  Bill Clinton couldn’t do that in either election, and he was one of the most gifted politicians of this era.

. . . we survived Jimmy Carter, who got elected with a similar “change” wind at his back after Watergate and the Vietnam War. He also had large Congressional majorities, and the Fairness Doctrine had been firmly in place for decades.

I hope that Obama turns out to be a better President than Carter, not for Obama’s sake but for the country’s sake.  Christopher Buckley and other conservatives engaged in some wishful thinking by claiming that his victory would somehow lead him to become centrist rather than a liberal ideologue once in office.  Obama has always been pragmatic, as his campaign showed; it will be up to us to work to get that to happen.

The voters in America wanted a significant change, however, and they got it last night in the proper manner — at the ballot box.  Obama’s victory was no fluke; he beat John McCain by seven million votes and won more states than Bush did in either of his two elections.  He will have stronger majorities in both chambers of Congress for his party, and will have legitimate claim to a mandate.

Over the next four years, Republicans and conservatives have to work to rethink their approaches, find new leadership, and work to keep the worst excesses of the Democratic policy from becoming reality.  In 2010, we will have an opportunity to rebuild.  We need to do that through ideas, policies, and strong leadership, not by acting … well, like the Left did throughout much of the Bush years.



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Looks Like It

Were the polls right?

Pretty much, yeah. CNN has the popular vote at 52/46 as I write this but the numbers are still moving; when I run the math from the actual vote totals, it’s 53.0/46.9, for a margin of 6.1 percent. The final RCP spread: 7.6 percent, a figure boosted by a few eleventh-hour double-digit outliers like Gallup and Zogby but otherwise reflective of the conventional wisdom over the last month that had the race steady at six or seven points. Rasmussen and Pew nailed it and Fox, CNN, Hotline, and McClatchy were all off by a single point, well within the margin of error. Nate Silver’s statistical model? 6.1 percent exactly.

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