Posted by
Always To The Right on Wednesday, October 29, 2008 12:49:31 PM
Rasmussen’s tracking poll
shows a significant narrowing of the race with just six days to go
before Election Day. John McCain has closed to within three points of
Barack Obama nationwide, within the tracking poll’s margin of error.
This comes as Gallup also shows it a margin-of-error race as of yesterday in its traditional turnout mode
We talked quite a bit about polling at last night’s Talk the Vote
event. All three hosts reminded people that Jimmy Carter led Ronald
Reagan with eight days left in the race in 1980 outside the
margin of error. Furthermore, the rising number of refusals — those
who refuse to participate in telephone polling — make the predictive
value of electoral polling more questionable than ever before. Michael
Medved said that some pollsters report refusal levels as high as 80%.