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Junk Science & Global Warming

'Poisoned Profits': Recycled Junk Science - Former New York Times environmental reporter Phil Shabecoff is so green he even recycles debunked health scares.

Climate change: Doom versus gloom - The consequences of a global temperature rise of 4C are catastrophic: from drought, to heatwaves, to crop failure and disease.

As environment web editor, I think a lot about the risk of doom-mongering we run when reporting gloomy environmental news. But risk is in fact what this is all about: how lucky do we feel in gambling with the planet's future?

In our exclusive today, Bob Watson, one of the world's most eminent climate scientists, says that while we should aim to limit the rise in global temperature to 2C, we must prepare for a rise of 4C. That 4C is a global average, by the way, and higher latitudes will see higher rises. The reason we must hope for the best and prepare for the worst is that there is a chance that the worst will occur, and that chance is not insignificant. (The Guardian)

Watson has a long history of doom mongering and general enviro lunacy:

POLITICAL SCIENCE by Ronald Bailey, Published in Reason magazine, December 1993

Last spring physicist William Happer found out what happens to federal scientists who ask the wrong questions. He was fired.

Happer, director of energy research at the U.S. Department of Energy for two years, was asked to leave at the end of May. Although he was a political appointee, he had expected to remain until his replacement was nominated, since the Clinton administration had asked him to stay on in January. But he was pushed out two months beforehand. "I was told that science was not going to intrude on policy," he says.

Happer's problems were all the worse because he had earlier tangled with America's ozone czar, Robert Watson. Watson was the chief scientist for NASA's Mission to Planet Earth program and served as the head of the Ozone Trends Panel.

He is also a favorite of Gore's. In his book, Gore praises Watson for his "steadfast work" on stratospheric ozone. And Watson has now reaped his reward: He has been nominated to become associate director of environment in the White House Office on Science and Technology Policy.

Happer recalls a run-in he had with Watson during a meeting last year of the Federal Coordinating Council on Science, Engineering, and Technology, chaired by Allan Bromley, President Bush's science adviser.

Watson made a scary presentation to the council in which he warned that ozone depletion would lead to perilous ecological problems and increases in skin cancer. Watson suggested that an "ozone hole" could open up over Kennebunkport, Maine, Bush's vacation home.

At the meeting, Happer angrily protested Watson's "exaggerations." He pointed out that during the Antarctic ozone hole the amount of UV-B light reaching the surface is far less than that reaching the surface at the equator. Happer noted that the richest fishing area in the world, just off the coast of Ecuador, receives "a thousand times more UV-B radiation that do the oceans around Antarctica during the height of the 'ozone hole'. Yet many of the same species of phytoplankton thrive in both areas with little or no apparent damage."

Watson backed down from his most outrageous assertions. But this dispute earned Happer a powerful enemy.

Happer describes the officially accepted approach to climate policy this way: "When you ask this gang overseeing ozone depletion and global warming how much two plus two is, they first ask, 'Why do you want to know?' Then you say, 'Well, I'm interested in finding out what's happening to the ozone layer, and I thought the answer would help.' Then they say, 'Well, how much do you want it to be?'"

In the worst cases, science has been turned on its head. Instead of policy being guided by factual information, the facts are being forced to fit the policy requirements of certain politicians, bureaucrats, and activists.

"With regard to global climate issues, we are experiencing politically correct science," Happer says. "Many atmospheric scientists are afraid for their funding, which is why they don't challenge Al Gore and his colleagues. They have a pretty clear idea of what the answer they're supposed to get is. The attitude in the administration is, 'If you get a wrong result, we don't want to hear about it."

And this was in 1993.

Watson at Kyoto

...the only news reports that appeared in the local press had to do with statements issued by Robert Watson, newly elected President of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

Waston was asked in a press briefing about the growing number of climate scientists who challenge the conclusions of the UN that man-induced global warming is real and promises cataclysmic consequences.

Watson responded by denigrating all dissenting scientists as pawns of the fossil fuel industry. "The science is settled" he said, and "we're not going to reopen it here."  (Sound familiar?)

With that, the issue of science was omitted from any discussion at the proceedings. The science, however, is drawing ever more serious challenges by a widening range of climate scientists. More than 110 of the world's leading climatologists and atmospheric scientists have now signed the "Leipzig Declaration" which says, essentially, that the uncertainties that abound in climate science do not justify policy actions proposed by the COP III.

Most of the major media, however, has conspired to ignore dissenting scientists. The Media Research Center conducted an analysis of major media news coverage of the global warming issue between January 1993 and October 1997. They found that of the 48 stories during the period, 39 simply assumed that the science supporting global warming claims was true. Only seven stories acknowledged that some scientists were skeptical, and in only two stories, were the arguments of dissenting scientists actually discussed.

Both ABC and CBS were identified as advocates of the global warming science with statements such as Peter Jennings' October 22, 1997 declaration that "...the overwhelming majority of scientist now agree [climate change] is being caused by man."

The media refuse to report statements such as that of Benjamin D. Santer, lead author of the IPCC Chapter on science. Science magazine quotes Santer as saying (May 16, 1997), "It's unfortunate that people read the media hype before they read the report.

"We say quite clearly that few scientists would say the attribution [of global warming to human causes] issue was a done deal."

At least six independent polls have now been conducted by reputable firms such as the Gallup organization, and others, in America and in Europe. Depending on how the questions are framed, as few as three percent of American climate scientists agree with the IPCC conclusions, according to a survey conducted by the Meteorologisches Institut der Universitat Hamburg, as published in the UN's own Climate Change Bulletin (Issue 14, Second Quarter, 1997). The most generous estimate of agreement registered by any of the polls was 19%.

That means that at least 81% of the scientists involved with climate reject the IPCC conclusion that "the balance of evidence suggests a human influence on global climate."

The media and the UN have conspired to orchestrate the most comprehensive propaganda campaign since Joseph Goebbels tried to prepare the world for Hitler's brand of global governance. In Japan, as was the case in Bonn and in Geneva throughout the year, CNN has become a 24-hour per day propaganda mill for the UN, using unconscionable scare-tactics in support of the Climate Change Treaty. Throughout the day and night, promotional spots for their "global warming" special fills the air waves, featuring hurricanes, floods, drought, storms, and all manner of other calamities.

and that was in 1997...

This is the UK  Chief Advisor on Environmental Policy, with direct input to government legislation. (Background research by Dennis Ambler)


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What Next For D.C.'s Gun Laws

The Supreme Court ruled in June that provisions of Washington, D.C.'s gun laws are unconstitutional. Unfortunately, the city has responded with new regulations that are a flagrant attempt to circumvent the court's decision.

It's time for Congress to use the power granted to it in the Constitution to "exercise exclusive legislation" in the District and uphold its residents' constitutional rights. It can do so by passing the District of Columbia Personal Protection Act now pending in Congress, with a few adjustments. This bill, introduced on July 31 with 57 cosponsors, would prevent D.C. from passing regulations that discourage the private lawful use of firearms or otherwise suppress residents' Second Amendment rights. It is the result of a compromise between the National Rifle Association and House leaders.

To ensure broad-based, bipartisan support, we propose four modest congressional actions that would preserve some home-rule authority while erecting a commonsense framework for restoring the right to self-defense in our nation's capital.

Over the years, our elected representatives have adopted a court-centric view of the Constitution -- a view that decisions about constitutionality are properly left to the judiciary. But members of Congress also swear to uphold the Constitution. Congress can make good on that oath by restoring the right of Washington, D.C., residents to possess functional firearms in their homes.



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Drug Denial Is Devastating 'Death Sentence' For Cancer Patients

Those of you that feel we should have some form of universal health care, or a National Health [like they have in the UK], should read this.  The costs involved mean there will be some form of rationing of health care if we start some kind of universal health care in the United States.

Thousands of kidney cancer patients have been handed an 'early death sentence' under plans to ban life-extending new drugs.

Four drugs which can offer patients extra years with their loved ones have been rejected by the Government's rationing body because they cost too much. 

The National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence admits the drugs work, but says that if they are approved, patients with other diseases will have to go without.

Kidney specialist Tim Eisen, professor of medical oncology at the Cambridge Research Institute, said: 'Patients here are receiving medieval treatment.

'Together these drugs are the single greatest advance for kidney cancer patients in the last 20 years, yet I and my colleagues face the prospect of being unable to offer treatment that is absolutely standard in every other western European country.'

'This decision will mean that the UK will have the poorest survival figures in Europe.'



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Imagine He’s A Leader. It’s Not Easy Even If You Try

Obama’s 3 AM Breakfast: Waffles


Barack Obama has apparently reversed himself on what John McCain called a 3 AM moment, in reference to Hillary Clinton’s primary campaign ad.  Originally, Obama had decided to castigate both Georgia and Russia over the outbreak of hostilities in South Ossetia, even while Russian bombs fell on Georgia itself.  Today, Obama has changed his tune, following McCain’s lead in demanding that Russia cease its aggression

McCain obviously took time to determine first that Russia had indeed attacked Georgia before demanding restraint from the victim.  It’s apparent that McCain has a better grasp of the situation and understood its ramifications as events unfolded.  Obama issued a boilerplate statement that generically demanded that everyone start getting along, and had to modify his stance as his 300 foreign-policy advisers had a chance to tutor him on the conflict.

I’d rather vote for the man who gets it right and has spent years studying foreign affairs, warfare, and American strategic needs than the man who makes it up as he goes along.  McCain is right; this was a 3 AM moment, and Obama proved himself unprepared and unsuited to answer the call.



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Quite Possibly The Dumbest Thing Ever Published By The BBC

see-dubya  •  June 16, 2008 01:32 PM [Michelle Malkin's site]

Okay, it’s a perfectly reasonable and informative article about the threat of arrest faced by political bloggers around the world. Except for the last sentence, which is also the caption they pulled for this picture. Let me just screencap it so you can savor the dumbness

The report predicted that the number of blogger arrests in 2008 would exceed the 36 seen in 2007 thanks to greater popularity of blogging as a medium, greater enforcement of net restrictions, and elections in China, Pakistan, Iran and the US.

China, Pakistan, and the US?

Well, they point out that it is an election year, so I guess that means anything goes . . .

Interesting thing–that BBC article refers to a World Information Access Project report about blogger arrests, which notes there have been 64 cases of bloggers getting pinched since 2003 (plus many more in Burma which couldn’t all be verified.) I looked in their data set, and three of them were in the United States.

Don’t you wanna know why?

The first blogger arrested in America was Daniel Aljughaifi, “for terrorism”. Yep. As in training with Al Qaeda. I’m pretty cool with his getting arrested.

Second? Jack McClellan. They give the reason for that as “For posting pictures of little girls, being a pedophile”. Great! Enjoy prison!

Third is a little more complicated, but not too much. Josh Wolf, “For videotaping a burning police car.” Yeah, not quite. He was arrested for refusing to turn over his video of a burning police car to a grand jury in a criminal investigation. Not quite the same thing. In any case, judging from Wolf’s sideburned hipster-doofus picture I support his arrest on a count of aggravated pretension.

Even if you disagree with what happened to Josh Wolf, it’s no different from what Judith Miller went through when she refused to name her sources in Plamegate, and not inconsistent with our views of a free press. It’s not like American bloggers are being specially targeted by the Ministry of Truth.
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Where Are The International Outcries?

Russians bomb Georgian city


Wouldn’t this constitute a war crime, if deliberate?  The Russians dropped bombs on the city of Gori today, killing civilians, while announcing that they had taken the capital of South Ossetia back from Georgia.  Meanwhile, the US struggles to find a response that will contain the aggression and hostilities, but Georgia has war on its mind

The US received howls of criticism for its targeted strikes on insurgents who deliberately hid among civilians in Iraq and in Afghanistan.  Even Barack Obama criticized American tactics in the latter, saying that all we were doing was “air raiding villages and killing civilians”.  Israel got the same criticism during its war with Hezbollah, which also hid among civilians.

So when will we hear criticism from Obama, MoveOn, and the rest of the critics over these tactics by Russia?  Georgia is fielding a uniformed army, clearly identifiable and operating under command of the state.  Why does Russia need to bomb civilian centers under these conditions?



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Gone At 50

Bernie Mac, RIP

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About The "White House And The Forged Letter"

From Best of the Web;

"A new book by the author Ron Suskind claims that the White House ordered the CIA to forge a back-dated, handwritten letter from the head of Iraqi intelligence to Saddam Hussein," Politico reported the other day:
Suskind writes in "The Way of the World," to be published Tuesday, that the alleged forgery--adamantly denied by the White House--was designed to portray a false link between Hussein's regime and al Qaeda as a justification for the Iraq war. . . .
According to Suskind, the administration had been in contact with the director of the Iraqi intelligence service in the last years of Hussein's regime, Tahir Jalil Habbush al-Tikriti.
"The White House had concocted a fake letter from Habbush to Saddam, backdated to July 1, 2001," Suskind writes. "It said that 9/11 ringleader Mohammad Atta had actually trained for his mission in Iraq--thus showing, finally, that there was an operational link between Saddam and al Qaeda, something the Vice President's Office had been pressing CIA to prove since 9/11 as a justification to invade Iraq. There is no link."

George Tenet, who was the CIA director at the time, issued a statement arguing that the claim is not only false but implausible:

It is well established that, at my direction, CIA resisted efforts on the part of some in the Administration to paint a picture of Iraqi-Al Qa'ida connections that went beyond the evidence. The notion that I would suddenly reverse our stance and have created and planted false evidence that was contrary to our own beliefs is ridiculous.

Suskind continues to stand behind his story--but his sources don't, NBC reports:

Two former CIA officers denied that they or the spy agency faked an Iraqi intelligence document, as they are quoted as saying in Suskind's book "The Way of the World," published Tuesday. "I never received direction from George Tenet (CIA director at the time) or anyone else in my chain of command to fabricate a document . . . as outlined in Mr. Suskind's book," said Robert Richer, the CIA's former deputy director of clandestine operations.
Richer also said he talked Tuesday to John Maguire, who led the CIA's Iraq Operations Group at the time and who gave Richer "permission to state the following on his behalf: I never received any instruction from then Chief/NE Rob Richer or any other officer in my chain of command instructing me to fabricate such a letter. Further, I have no knowledge to the origins of the letter and as to how it circulated in Iraq," the statement said.

Suskind's dubious claim has given rise to an even more dubious claim from the fever swamps of the far right--namely The American Conservative, a magazine whose current cover story is an antiwar symposium about World War II. Philip Giraldi, a onetime CIA officer, claims that Suskind's story is true, but the CIA wasn't involved. Giraldi claims that it was the Pentagon, specifically Douglas Feith, then undersecretary for policy, that was behind the forgery.

Feith emails this response:

The . . . accusation is a nonsensical lie vouched for by an anonymous source and promoted by a writer named Philip Giraldi who lives on the hate-filled fringe of the world of crazy Zionist conspiracy theories. Shame on the people and publications that give credence to such garbage!

Giraldi's assertion could hardly be more thinly sourced; he attributes it to "an extremely reliable and well placed source in the intelligence community." As Giraldi describes it, Suskind's allegation "is correct but . . . a number of details are wrong." It's not clear, however, how Suskind's CIA sources are supposed to have known about this purported forgery if their agency had nothing to do with it.

At any rate, Giraldi's assertion quickly received favorable notice on Angry Left sites like ThinkProgress.com, the latest example of how the fringes of left and right converge.



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