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A 'Hidden Tax' Of Rules Hits Economy

President Bush's fiscal 2009 U.S. budget is the first to top $3 trillion. Federal spending has risen from 18% of GDP in 2000 to 21% today. The administration's spending explosion has been roundly criticized by both the right and the left.

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While the Dow collapses, we have a bull market in government regulations. The 50-plus departments, agencies and commissions are now at work on 3,882 rules; 757 will affect small businesses. More than 51,000 final rules were issued from 1995 to 2007. Those regulations are not free.

Enforcing and overseeing them costs $42 billion per year. A far bigger cost — one that is not counted in the budget — is compliance. Regulatory compliance costs of $1.16 trillion are now higher than Canada's entire 2004 GDP ($1.017 trillion).

At a time of lackluster 1% economic growth, the regulatory state costs 8.5% of U.S. GDP. Combined with the 21% of GDP consumed by federal spending, we have a federal government that absorbs nearly 30% of economic output. None of this includes state and local government, which push the burden of government up to 53.9% of GDP.



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A 'Hidden Tax' Of Rules Hits Economy

President Bush's fiscal 2009 U.S. budget is the first to top $3 trillion. Federal spending has risen from 18% of GDP in 2000 to 21% today. The administration's spending explosion has been roundly criticized by both the right and the left.

Read Full Article

While the Dow collapses, we have a bull market in government regulations. The 50-plus departments, agencies and commissions are now at work on 3,882 rules; 757 will affect small businesses. More than 51,000 final rules were issued from 1995 to 2007. Those regulations are not free.

Enforcing and overseeing them costs $42 billion per year. A far bigger cost — one that is not counted in the budget — is compliance. Regulatory compliance costs of $1.16 trillion are now higher than Canada's entire 2004 GDP ($1.017 trillion).

At a time of lackluster 1% economic growth, the regulatory state costs 8.5% of U.S. GDP. Combined with the 21% of GDP consumed by federal spending, we have a federal government that absorbs nearly 30% of economic output. None of this includes state and local government, which push the burden of government up to 53.9% of GDP.



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Higher Rates And Taxes Augur Ill For Whoever's The Next President

The event with the greatest political ramifications for the next president may have taken place at the Federal Reserve's last meeting in June.

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The Smooth One

Where does Obama stand on the issues? Everywhere and nowhere, it seems. His shift on drilling shows flexibility, but it leaves his convictions a mystery.

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The Air Apparent

As he flip-flops on drilling, Barack Obama contends we can save as much oil by inflating our tires as may be found offshore. What's phase two of his energy plan? Borrowing Jimmy Carter's sweater?

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If Obama ran a gas station, it would probably have no gas pumps, just air hoses. Speaking in Missouri last week, the one we have been waiting for said: "There are things you can do individually, though, to save energy.  Making sure your tires are properly inflated — simple things.  But we could save all the oil that they're talking about getting off drilling — if everybody was just inflating their tires. And getting regular tuneups. You'd actually save just as much!"

The Saudis must be laughing their heads off. Can we expect Jimmy Carter to be Obama's secretary of energy? Keeping your tires properly inflated can improve your gas mileage by about 3%. Most new cars don't need tuneups for the first 100,000 miles. And even all the hot air from Obama's speeches would not make a dent in the 20 million barrels of crude we consume daily.



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Holding Sanctuary Cities Accountable

Sanctuary cities must be held accountable. Defying Law

Regardless of where one falls in the illegal-immigration debate, sanctuary policies are a concrete example of mayors and city councils directly breaching federal immigration law. These cities must be held accountable. The single most effective way to do that is to hit them where it hurts — their precious federal funding. Follow current federal law, or if you refuse, lose significant federal dollars. That would surely be a tough call for many of these liberal big-city officials.

We must get serious about the illegal-immigration problem. One way to do that is to hold all sanctuary cities accountable.

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Obama's Overstatement

Obama released a TV spot saying McCain's campaign got $2 million from "Big Oil" while McCain proposed "another $4 billion in tax breaks" for the industry.

The truth is that McCain's campaign has received $1.33 million from individuals employed in the oil and gas industry, not $2 million. Obama himself has received nearly $400,000, according to the most authoritative figures available. We find the $2 million figure is based on a mistaken calculation.

Furthermore, McCain is not proposing new tax breaks specifically targeted to the oil industry. He's proposing a general reduction in the corporate income tax rate, which Democrats figure would benefit the five largest oil and gas companies by $3.8 billion.


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Obama & Race

Obama's speech demonizing energy was full of contradictions, platitudes and lies. He declared, "We must end the age of oil in our time." What he means is end the era of American greatness. It's frightening.

"Not one thing about Obama's energy plan will reduce fuel prices, nor will it expand supplies. There's nothing about his plan that will grow the economy. There is nothing in his plan that provides the energy for growth which the American people, all desirous of the American dream, not only demand, they expect."

Bob Herbert: Why is everyone missing the phallic symbols in McCain’s Britney ad?

Bob Herbert Sees Racism in McCain Ads: Running While Black

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Irrelevance In 30 Seconds

Obama ad: “Pocket”


Barack Obama has a new ad out, continuing the negative campaigning he once eschewed. Obama now says that John McCain is in the pocket of the oil companies by refusing to impose a windfall-profits tax while taking $2 million in contributions from the industry. The ad never does mention Obama’s six-figure take from the same industry, however

Obama’s campaign stumbles on a couple of points. First, “Big Oil” doesn’t contribute to John McCain or to Barack Obama.  As Factcheck tried explaining to Team Obama earlier, corporations cannot make campaign contributions.  If Obama’s complaining about oil industry figures contributing to McCain, then the ad is hypocritical, since Obama has oil executives working as bundlers for his own campaign, and has received hundreds of thousands of dollars from the same industry.

As far as the windfall-profits tax plan Obama favors, the Jimmy Carter policy failed miserably when first tried — and as the Wall Street Journal asks, what makes a “windfall” anyway?

Mr. Obama didn’t bother to define “reasonable,” and neither did Dick Durbin, the second-ranking Senate Democrat, when he recently declared that “The oil companies need to know that there is a limit on how much profit they can take in this economy.” Really? This extraordinary redefinition of free-market success could use some parsing.

Take Exxon Mobil, which on Thursday reported the highest quarterly profit ever and is the main target of any “windfall” tax surcharge. Yet if its profits are at record highs, its tax bills are already at record highs too. Between 2003 and 2007, Exxon paid $64.7 billion in U.S. taxes, exceeding its after-tax U.S. earnings by more than $19 billion. That sounds like a government windfall to us, but perhaps we’re missing some Obama-Durbin business subtlety.

Maybe they have in mind profit margins as a percentage of sales. Yet by that standard Exxon’s profits don’t seem so large. Exxon’s profit margin stood at 10% for 2007, which is hardly out of line with the oil and gas industry average of 8.3%, or the 8.9% for U.S. manufacturing (excluding the sputtering auto makers).

If that’s what constitutes windfall profits, most of corporate America would qualify. Take aerospace or machinery — both 8.2% in 2007. Chemicals had an average margin of 12.7%. Computers: 13.7%. Electronics and appliances: 14.5%. Pharmaceuticals (18.4%) and beverages and tobacco (19.1%) round out the Census Bureau’s industry rankings. The latter two double the returns of Big Oil, though of course government has already became a tacit shareholder in Big Tobacco through the various legal settlements that guarantee a revenue stream for years to come.

When Obama becomes President, the federal government will determine how much profit any business is allowed to make.  Washington will set arbitrary levels for federal intervention and confiscation, and they will strip shareholders of value in order to redistribute the money to pet constituencies. This isn’t taxation at all, but penalizing success, even the moderate success as shown by the actual profit margin in the oil industry.

It’s robbery by government whim, and even if it hadn’t already proven itself as a complete failure in the 1970s and 1980s, it would still be wrong.

Obama’s ad misses the mark in another crucial way.  Seventy percent of Americans believe that high gas prices result from a supply crisis, one that can be resolved by opening up American resources and creating American jobs.  The “Big Oil” conspiracy theories don’t work any more.  The longer Obama pushes them as a campaign theme, the more marginalized he will become on the biggest domestic issue this year, and perhaps in the last decade.  He couldn’t possibly make himself more irrelevant than by running this ad.



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Moron

David Gergen: McCain’s “Moses” ad is code for calling Obama “uppity”


In which the single dumbest, most paranoid racial charge of the campaign is recycled on national television by a former presidential advisor and current Harvard professor. I said it before but it bears repeating: If you take this logic to its conclusion, there’s literally no non-racist way to accuse a member of a minority group of having an outsized ego. Any synonym you can conjure — elitist, arrogant, “megalomaniac narcissist” (to quote Hitchens) — can all happily be dismissed as “code,” regardless . . .

. . . The real “tell” here, though, is what Gergen offers as further evidence to support his point — that McCain, when asked about affirmative action, said he opposes quotas. A perfectly mainstream conservative position, and certainly one McCain would also hold if he was facing Hillary, but because he’s facing Obama McCain’s no longer allowed to talk about it. Presumably he should be responding to questions on the subject with a terse “no comment” lest halfwits like this whip out their secret racial decoder rings to tell America what he “really” meant.

That’s okay. The more ridiculous the left’s demagoguery becomes, the more credibility they lose with voters. See, e.g., the new Rasmussen poll on McCain’s Britney ad. Not only did a vast majority see nothing racist about it (Democrats themselves are evenly divided) but fully 53% found St. Barack’s “dollar bill” comment over the line, including 44% of blacks.
 
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This Ain’t Over

It’s on: House GOP’s oil protest to resume tomorrow

More than a dozen Republicans have already committed to being there; Pete Hoekstra, leveraging the buzz the GOP got in the blogosphere on Friday for its use of new media, sent forth the good word this afternoon via Twitter. No word yet on what they’re planning, but if you’re not yet convinced that the wind is at their back on this, go read the transcript at Newsbusters of Stephanopoulos beating his head against a wall trying to get a straight answer out of Pelosi on why she won’t allow a vote on drilling.



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Is Everyone Comfy? Not Really

Brazile: Of course Obama injects race into the campaign


Donna Brazile admitted the obvious on ABC’s This Week earlier today, but she tries to pin the blame on John McCain anyway.  After George Will points out three different times in the last six weeks that Obama has brought up the race issue, two in which he accused McCain and the Republicans of using it, Brazile allowed that Obama had done so — but only to make everyone feel more comfortable about it

Uh, no. I’d maybe give Brazile the benefit about the Berlin speech, in which he mentioned it as a positive, but clearly in June and last week Obama meant it as an accusation. It wasn’t an inclusive statement, or a historical note, but an allegation that McCain and his campaign used or will use race as a fear tactic. Unfortunately, they have exactly zero examples of this to bolster these smears.

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