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Flying Blind

Report: Pentagon worried that Israel doesn’t know where Iran’s nuke sites are

Left unmentioned is the fact that even if Israel does know where every last nuke site in Iran is and somehow manages to put a bomb on the target, there’s no guarantee that any major damage will be done. Do note the contradiction, though, between the idea that attacking Iran is futile because at least part of their nuclear infrastructure is secret and the idea that we don’t need to act now because western intel assures us they’re still years away from having a bomb. Both are staples of dovish arguments, which makes no sense. Either you think we know the extent of Iran’s program and can time our response accordingly or you don’t think we know, in which case we have to err on the side of caution by assuming the worst and acting sooner. How can anti-war types maintain both positions simultaneously? Simple — because they’re willing to let Iran have the bomb in order to avoid another war. That’s been their position all along but they can’t push it in those terms or else they’ll be seen, rightly, as weak and it’ll wreck the Democrats’ chances yet again. Unfortunately for them, Israel isn’t as willing, so someone had really better start pressing Obama and McCain to hash out their contingency plans for the aftermath of an IAF attack. The Democratic Party might be ready to gamble on a nuclear-armed Iran behaving like a Cold War rational actor, but Kadima surely is not.


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