Posted by
On the Right on Thursday, July 03, 2008 10:46:10 PM
With the long July Fourth weekend, you might get a chance to see
your senator or representative. If so, you should be ready to dispel a
few myths politicians now have about drilling for more oil.
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"We can't drill our way out of our energy crisis."
Actually, we can. As we've noted before, conservative estimates put
the total amount of recoverable oil in conventional deposits at about
39 billion barrels. Offshore, we have another 89 billion barrels or so.
In ANWR, 10 billion barrels.
"Oil companies are sitting on 68 million acres of oil leases and refuse to drill."
This is yet another slander of "Big Oil" by House Speaker Nancy
Pelosi — one that has become a major talking point for Democrats in
Congress. It's completely dishonest.
"Even if drilling works, it'll take a decade or more for the oil to flow."
This is quite an argument coming from the Democratic Party, which
has made keeping oil off the market a linchpin of its energy policy for
decades.
If President Clinton hadn't vetoed the idea of drilling in ANWR back
in 1995, we'd have that oil on the market today. Ditto if Congress had
approved ANWR drilling in 2002, when President Bush requested it.
Even so, the larger point is false anyway. New oil will be flowing
in some cases within three to four years, according to industry
estimates. But the impact on prices will be immediate. Why? Because
markets would suddenly have to discount future oil prices for the
expected gain in oil supply. That would cause oil prices, especially in
futures markets, to drop.
"Record profits by big oil companies are the reason for soaring prices."
It's true that oil company profits have never been higher. But put
into perspective, oil company profits are high because the price is
high. As a share of revenue, profits aren't so high.
The average profit, as we've noted before, is around 8 to 9 cents to
the dollar. That compares with about 7 cents to the dollar for
manufacturers and more than 15 cents to the dollar for computer makers.
In short, oil profits aren't out of whack with the rest of industry.
In the meantime, let us suggest that if you think more oil will help,
you should tell your local members of Congress. They're easy to find at
the government Web site thomas.loc.gov. The only problem is, on this
topic, many won't want to be found.