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Medicare And Social Security: The Challenge Of Giant Entitlement Costs

Social Security and Medicare have promised $42.9 trillion more in benefits to senior and disabled workers than the programs will be able to pay, according to a new report. The 2008 annual report of the trustees of the Social Security and Medicare trust funds concludes that both programs will require progressively larger transfers from general revenues to maintain projected levels of spending. The burden from Social Security and Medicare will fall directly on younger generations, and this report affirms the need for Congress to begin a serious overhaul of both of these vital programs.

What most reports will miss is that Congress will have to start to deal with reduced surplus Social Security tax collections much faster than it or the public expect. Starting in 2010, the roughly $80 billion in annual Social Security surpluses that Congress has been borrowing and spending on other programs will begin to shrink. From that point on, Congress will have to either find other sources to replace the borrowed money or reduce spending. The surpluses will end completely in 2017, the year when Social Security begins to spend more than it collects.

In 2020, a little more than 12 years from now, today's $80 billion annual Social Security surplus will turn into a $75 billion annual deficit--a $150 billion change. From 2017 on, Social Security will require large and growing amounts of general revenue money in order to pay all of its promised benefits. Even though this money will technically come from cashing in the special-issue bonds in the trust fund, the money to repay them will come from other tax collections or borrowing. Moreover, the billions that go to Social Security each year will make it harder to find money for other government programs.

The 2008 Medicare and Social Security Trustees Report shows that the two entitlement programs cannot remain in their current forms. It is irresponsible to saddle our children and grandchildren with the trillions in additional taxes that will be needed to pay full benefits into the future. Making matters worse, this cost continues to grow every year.

Unless Congress begins to work now to fix this country's most important programs for senior citizens, our children will face the choice of paying for programs for their parents or paying for education for their children. The first baby boomer has already retired under Social Security. Delay will only make that dilemma worse.



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